“If you look at life like rolling a dice, then my situation now, as it stands – yeah, it may only be a 3. If I jack that in now, go for something bigger and better, yeah, I could easily roll a six – no problem, I could roll a 6… I could also roll a 1. OK? So, I think sometimes… Just leave the dice alone” Tim from The Office would definitely not take hits in his FPL team. But is this a good week to gamble?
The main consensus of opinion this week seems to be anyone who had a half decent score in gameweek one might be best off rolling the free transfer for a double transfer in week 3.
I scored 84 in week 1, my highest opening gameweek score ever (only good enough for 7th in the correspondents league though!) and my first thought was to roll the transfer and not make unnecessary changes to my team.
But then I had a great idea. Why not try and roll a six. Or an 86. I’ve got 84 points, why not use the points and the momentum of week one to gamble, to take a hit and see if I can back up week 1 with another good score? If I take a hit and it goes wrong I’ve still got a solid base to work from due to the week 1 score. I won’t go out of my way to take a hit but if I find the look of one I will almost certainly take it. I’m more than happy to risk scoring 30 to try and score 80 again. The happiness of getting back to back 80s to start the season far outweighs the possibility of only having 110 points in the first two weeks.
Sometimes it’s best to wait a week, be patient and let the points come to you but that’s not always the case, sometimes it’s good to be aggressive and go and grab some points. One way I’ve looked at it is if I had only scored 80 points in week 1 would I be happy? Yes I would, so why not spend the 4 points to give myself the chance to have an early shake up and get a second high score to start the season knowing I have the safety net of a good start.
The hit I have my eye on currently is to sell Mane and Bednarek or Boly to get in a Manchester City defender and midfielder. It might go wrong and if it does I can always take another hit in week three to correct it – what’s the worst that can happen? A week three wildcard? Now there’s a thought.
Speaking of people who would definitely stick on three, Jose Mourinho and his Manchester United side ground out a patchy, xG defying win on Friday night. In real life terms nothing has changed from last season. In FPL terms it didn’t tell us anything we didn’t already know. De Gea will make enough saves to be a contender for our teams, the defence will concede a lot of chances again, Sanchez and the attackers probably aren’t worth the bother and Paul Pogba will be a better real life player than fantasy option. As it stands nothing has changed my pre-season opinion on the side and that has only been confirmed by the board rightly refusing to back the manager and the manager having an argument with his star player. Roll on Zizou.